Posts tagged Market Trends
In his latest white paper, “Unprecedented Global Government Intervention,” NAI Global Chief Economist, Dr. Peter Linneman, discusses the dangers and pitfalls of an extraordinary wave of global government intervention taking place in capital markets. Citing historical examples, he demonstrates intervention only prolongs periods of stagnation and uncertainty. “In all, government activity is now deterring the very investment it was hoping to spur.”
As we enter the third quarter of 2012, we are seeing the pattern of unprecedented government intervention continue. Governments around the world are using the powerful tools at their disposal; spending, regulations, fiscal policy, and taxes to interfere with the free market in hope of sparking economic recovery. The result is that instead of recovery, we are experiencing further distress as the Euro crisis intensifies and even Brazil and China’s economies slow.
The Manhattan office market continued on its road to recovery in Q2 with the overall vacancy rate falling to 12.7%, a slight 10 basis-point decline from the previous quarter, and asking rents rising to $48.64, a 1.9% increase from Q1.
Leasing activity was dominated by financial services and media companies, which accounted for 16 of the 20 largest leases completed during Q2. Two blockbuster deals were completed in the quarter, with Conde Nast signing a lease for 1 million SF to anchor the under-construction 1 World Trade Center, and Nomura moving from Downtown to 900,000 SF at 825 Eighth Avenue in Midtown.
As we round the 3th quarter 0f 2011, we are seeing that lenders are increasingly willing to sell notes/assets to clear up their books. With the real estate recovery under way, more sideline capital are chasing the few opportunities on the market and The increased demand is prompting distressed debt owners to place more of their inventory on the market. More >
I was pleased to see this article from Reuters reporting how Colombia’s agricultural future is improving and within a decade could become a small agro-industrial power. With the FARC beaten back and the Colombian government able to wrest control of most of the countryside, the land can now be returned to a more benign and productive use. According to the article, at least 41 million acres (16.5 million hectares) of agricultural land could be brought on-line. Colombia’s successful track record in generating domestic investment, combined with its ability to attract international investment, this sector should be booming in the not too distant future. More >
As is typical, the industrial segment will lead the industry out of the real estate doldrums. The asset class is fairly less sophisticated then multi-family and office and retail remains a conundrum.
B-class assets and incubator vintage infill will be the first to lease as service companies and ancillary support companies will be buoyed by the improving economy.