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	<title>NAI Pinnacle &#124; Boise Commercial Real Estate Blog &#187; Economy</title>
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		<title>Beginning of the End, or End of the Beginning?</title>
		<link>http://ublog.naiglobal.com/naipinnacle/2010/10/28/beginning-of-the-end-or-end-of-the-beginning/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Oct 2010 14:28:29 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[“Today is the day that Britain steps back from the brink” so  said Britain’s Chancellor George Osborne yesterday as he presented the  Coalition Governments plans to eliminate the £109 billion structural  deficit during the lifetime of this Parliament.
Osborne inherited the biggest budget deficit of any leading economy.  But the question is:]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>“<em>Today is the day that Britain steps back from the brink”</em> so  said Britain’s Chancellor George Osborne yesterday as he presented the  Coalition Governments plans to eliminate the £109 billion structural  deficit during the lifetime of this Parliament.<img title="More..." src="../../wp-includes/js/tinymce/plugins/wordpress/img/trans.gif" alt="" /></p>
<p>Osborne inherited the biggest budget deficit of any leading economy.  But the question is: will his plans involving £81 billion of public  spending cuts and the loss of almost 500,000 public sector jobs save the  country, or push it over the edge into a double dip recession?</p>
<p>The city, primed over recent weeks to expect the worst, received the  Chancellor’s news relatively calmly. Certainly we did not see rioting on  the streets at the announcement of the rise in the state pension age to  66 for men and women by 2020, saving £5 billion a year.</p>
<p>In total, around £18 billion of savings will come from cutting  welfare costs. Local Government took the deepest of the cuts overall,  The Department of Communities and Local Government faces a 51% reduction  in its budget to £3.2 billion. The cut of 26% in the Local Government  Grant to £24.2 billion will have shocked Local Authorities, but no doubt  it’s we the public who will suffer with harsh cutbacks predicted in the  level of serving provided to none essential services such as parks,  leisure centres etc.</p>
<p>Despite the cuts, it’s not been all bad news; the Chancellor has  sought to achieve a delicate balance between austerity v stimulus. As  promised, Health and Schools spending were protected and the Chancellor  found more cash for areas that could boost Britain’s future growth,  including investment in science and confirmation that Crossrail, the £16  billion east-west new rail line in London, will proceed.</p>
<p>Certainly for property the effective removal of demand from the  Government as a major new property occupier will be doing little to  cheer the markets. However with an effective freeze on Government lease  renewals for some weeks this has been anticipated and perhaps already  built into market sentiment.</p>
<p>The issue remains: how will the rest of the world react to the  austerity plans announced by the UK Government? Will the plans announced  yesterday in the UK spur other Governments on to grasp the nettle? Only  time will tell and in the meantime we must all take our medicine and  hope that this is the end of the beginning and there will be brighter  times ahead.</p>
<p>-Paul Danks</p>
<p><em>Based in London, Paul Danks is NAI Global’s Senior Vice President  of Corporate Services working with clients across Europe, the Middle  East and Africa.</em></p>
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